What Will the Muslim Population Look Like in 2030?

by Trent Gilliss, senior editor

Projected Distribution of Muslim Population by Country and Territory in 2030
Projected distribution of Muslim population by country and territory in 2030. Click image for higher resolution version with data. (source: Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life)

A study released this week by the Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life titled "The Future of the Global Muslim Population" is worthwhile reading for many reasons, if not simply for the informational graphs and some of the bullet points in the executive summary:

  • By 2030, Pakistan is expected to surpass Indonesia as the country with the single largest Muslim population;
  • In 20 years, more Muslims are likely to live in Nigeria than in Egypt;
  • The Muslim birth rate is shrinking but still growing significantly faster than the non-Muslim population (twice the rate);
  • The Palestinian territories are the exception to the rule when it comes to the number of years of education (14 years) for women and the average number of children born (4.5 per female). Fertility rates in nine countries with a Muslim majority where women receive the most years of education average 2.3 children per female.

Education and Fertility in Muslim-Majority Countries
(source: Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life)

What are other points that stood out out to you? What does it mean?

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  7. cabdriver answered: Women with more education have fewer babies?! Wow, no wonder Muslim extremists want to stop girls going to school.
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